Authors
- Yakovenko Nataliya Vladimirovna Doctor of Geography, Professor
- Gurchenko Valentina Ivanovna
- Ten Roman Valerievich PhD (Geography)
- Safonova Irina Vyacheslavovna PhD (Geography)
Annotation
The relevance of the research is determined by the need for an integrated assessment of the demographic situation in the regions based on a multitude of heterogeneous statistical indicators, requiring a formalized approach to their integration and spatial analysis. The purpose of the research is to develop an algorithm for calculating the Integral Demographic Development Index and its application for assessing territorial differentiation within the Central Federal District (CFD). The methodological basis was the method of quantitative analysis using linear normalization of various indicators, their aggregation into weighted subindices, and subsequent calculation of the integral index. The empirical base includes data on CFD regions for 2000–2023. During the research, the formalized multi-dimensional assessment algorithm has been developed, including the stages of normalization, calculation of subindices for four thematic blocks (reproduction, health, age structure, migration), and the final index. As a result of the method’s validation, the stable spatial model has been revealed. It demonstrates a sharp centre-periphery gradient of demographic development. The dominant influence of the capital region (City of Moscow) on grouping results has been revealed, and the importance of considering the specifics of calculating relative indicators for the largest urban agglomerations has been demonstrated. The proposed methodology opens up wide opportunities for applied analysis. Its main outcome is the creation of an instrument for an objective typology of regions based on comparable integral assessment. The algorithm fundamentally increases the accuracy of interregional comparisons and, due to its flexibility, can be effectively used not only for tracking dynamics but also for research
on various spatial scales.
How to link insert
Yakovenko, N. V., Gurchenko, V. I., Ten, R. V. & Safonova, I. V. (2026). INTEGRAL ASSESSMENT AND SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGIONS IN THE CENTRAL FEDERAL DISTRICT Bulletin of the Moscow City Pedagogical University. Series "Pedagogy and Psychology", № 1 (61), 84. https://doi.org/10.24412/2076-9091-2026-161-84-102
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